Welcome to Voting Conservatives

Trafalgar Group has promising October Trump Polls

State / Date

Trump

Harris

WI Presidential Ballot – Oct 22, 2024

46.8

46.6

MI Presidential Ballot – Oct 21, 2024

46.0

44.2

PA Presidential Ballot – Oct 20, 2024

46.3

43.3

NV Presidential Ballot – Oct 15, 2024

45.6

44.8

 

NC Presidential Ballot – Oct 15, 2024

46.5

44.6

AZ Presidential Ballot – October 14, 2024

47.5

46.0

Links to Pollsters

Poll

Link

Perceived Bias

FiveThirtyEight (Nate Silver founder) (ABC News)

https://fivethirtyeight.com — redirects to 

https://abcnews.go.com/538

Left

RealClearPolitics (RCP)

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/

Slightly conservative-leaning

270toWin

https://www.270towin.com/

Neutral

The Hill/Decision Desk HQ

https://elections2024.thehill.com/

Center to slightly right-leaning

Politico Polling

https://www.politico.com/

Center-left 

YouGov

https://today.yougov.com/

Center-left to neutral, depending on regional focus

Trafalgar Group

https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/

Conservative Leaning. Known for polling with a unique methodology, often favorable to conservative candidates, particularly in swing states.

Rasmussen Reports

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/

Conservative Leaning.  Rasmussen is recognized for its frequent polling of conservative issues and generally reports results favoring reoybkucan candudates

Morning Consult

https://pro.morningconsult.com/

Slightly left-leaning

Ipsos

https://www.ipsos.com/en-us

Neutral to slightly-left.

Emerson College Poll

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/

Slight Left

Marist College Poll

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/

Neutral

SurveyMonkey

https://www.surveymonkey.com/

Generally neutral

Gallup

https://www.gallup.com/home.aspx

Neutral

Presidential Polling by State

State

Trump

Harris

Electoral Votes

Alabama

xx

xx

9

Alaska

xx

xx

3

Arizona

49

49

11

Arkansas

xx

xx

6

California

xx

xx

54

Colorado

xx

xx

10

Connecticut

xx

xx

7

Delaware

xx

xx

3

DC

xx

xx

3

Florida

52

44

30

Georgia

49

48

16

Hawaii

xx

xx

4

Idaho

xx

xx

4

Illinois

xx

xx

19

Indiana

xx

xx

11

Iowa

xx

xx

6

Kansas

xx

xx

6

Kentucky

xx

xx

8

Louisiana

xx

xx

8

Maine

xx

xx

4

Maryland

xx

xx

10

Massachusetts

xx

xx

11

Michigan

47

50

15

Minnesota

xx

xx

10

Mississippi

xx

xx

6

Missouri

xx

xx

10

Montana

+10 to 15 points

xx

4

Nebraska

xx

xx

5

Nevada

48

49

6

New Hampshire

xx

xx

4

New Jersey

xx

xx

14

New Mexico

xx

+ 5 to 6 points

5

New York

xx

xx

28

North Carolina

49

47

16

North Dakota

xx

xx

3

Ohio

50

43

17

Oklahoma

xx

xx

7

Oregon

xx

xx

8

Pennsylvania

48

50

19

Rhode Island

xx

xx

4

South Carolina

xx

xx

9

South Dakota

xx

xx

3

Tennessee

xx

xx

11

Texas

53

46

40

Utah

 

xx

xx

6

Vermont

xx

xx

3

Virigina

xx

xx

13

Washington

xx

xx

12

West Virginia

xx

xx

4

Wisconsin

48

48

10

Wyoming

+43 points

xx

3

 

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